UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
Phillips Arena, Atlanta, Georgia, United States
Saturday, April 21, 2012
Pay For View Card starts at 10:00 PM EST
All odds current at Bovada as of 5:00 PM EST Friday
Pay Per View Card
Jon Jones (-425) vs Rashad Evans (+325) Light Heavyweights:
Jon Jones is off arguably the best year ever in the sport winning four fights, the light-heavyweight title, and pretty much cleaning out the top of the division. Jones faces his toughest opponent to date in (17-1) “Suga” Rashad Evans. There is plenty of bad blood between these two one-time stablemates. Evans is a complete fighter but his greatest strength is his wrestling acumen and will likely want to take this one to the ground. Jones can do it however he wants and if you saw his domination of Rampage you know that he is comfortable on the ground. There is definitely a case to be made for Evans but in the end, BOTN just doesn’t think Jones can be beat at this point in a fight that goes to the judges.
Prediction: Jones by decision
Rory MacDonald (-550) vs Che Mills (+375) Welterweights:
MacDonald is 12-1 with his only loss coming against Carlos Conduit three back in a fight he pretty much dominated. In fact, he would have won a decision had he made it an additional seven seconds. In the follow up he rag-dolled Nate Diaz for 15 minutes and the knocked out Mike Pyle if the first-round of his last fight. This is a title shot audition for MacDonald and he’ll make short work of a game but overmatched Che Mills tonight.
Prediction: MacDonald by submission
Brendan Schaub (-280) vs Ben Rothwell (+235) Heavyweights:
Brandon Schaub had better “put up” here. The guy who once said that he was tired of fighting fat wrestlers gets a fat boxer (Rothwell) who has had some success on the regional level and ILF. Rothwell was throughly gassed is his two UFC losses to Cain and Mark Hunt and Schaub should have little difficulty in wearing Big Ben down. Neither one of these guys is going anywhere but …..
Prediction: Schaub by decision
Miguel Torres (-115) vs Michael McDonald (-115) Bantamweights:
McDonald is just 21 and his future is all in front of him. He already has had 15 fights and has won seven straight, the last three in the UFC. Tonight, he may have bit off a bit more than he can chew. Miguel Torres is a veteran of 44 fights, an ex-WEC bantamweight champ, and a one-time winner of 17 straight fights. he’s looking to regain some career momentum and focus and this is a showcase event to get back into the bantamweight title picture. For McDonald it’s too much, too soon but he’ll live to fight another day.
Prediction: Torres by decision
Mark Hominick (-550) vs Eddie Yagin (+375) Featherweights:
Hominick is a pretty good fighter that’s been pretty unlucky in his last two fights. Two back he was on the losing end of a unanimous decision to Jose Aldo for the featherweight belt, a fight that garnered “Fight of the Night” honors and it’s accompanying bonus. In the follow up, he touched gloves with the Korean Zombie and flew across the ring into a right hand that left him parallel instead of perpendicular tying the record for the quickest knockout in UFC history. Yagin is experienced and can take some punishment but is outmanned here.
Prediction: Hominick by decision
Mark Bocek (-400) vs John Alessio (+300) Lightweights:
Our first inclination was to look at the ultra-experienced Alessio at the price but he’s been beaten 14 times over a long career, seven times by submission, and to several lesser fighters than will be in front of him tonight. Bocek is a rare Canadian BJJJ practioner with seven of his ten wins coming via the nap-tap-snap rout. Bocek’s four losses are to Frankie Edgar, Ben Henderson, Jim Miller, and Danzig early in his career. One inevitable mistake by Alessio and it is …..
Prediction: Bocek by submission
Travis Browne (-265) vs Chad Griggs (+205) Heavyweights (FX3):
Not really sure why this isn’t the Big Boy event on the main card. Don’t plan on getting food or taking a WC break during this one as it could be over early. In fact, Travis Browne (12-0-1) has eight first-round stoppages, and Griggs (11-1) has never gone to the judges and has only seen the third round once. These are two tough SOBs, Griggs even having pummeled wannabe Bobby Lashley. That said, Griggs will be giving up a lot of size and weight to this hard hitting Hawaiian.
Prediction: Griggs by decision
John Makdessi (+170) vs Anthony Njokuani (-210) Lightweights (FX2):
Makdessi (9-1) is coming off the first loss of his career and Joe Silva did him no favors by matching him up with Njokuani. Makdessi is a striker who will be giving up lots of length here and isn’t overall very busy. The Nigerian has a very accomplished standup game himself. He figures to be able to sit back and pick Makdessi apart. If the “Assassin” can’t figure out a way to get a stoppage, count on a rata-tat-tat decision.
Prediction: Njokuani by knockout
Mac Danzig (-170) vs Efrain Escudero (+155) Lightweights (FX1):
Danzig is one of the most talented but inconsistent fighters in the UFC. The TUF alumnus is an excellent all around fighter whose chief weakness is being extremely small physically for his weight class. Escudero is good on the mat but with little to no stand up game and suspect conditioning. The loser will probably be asked by the UFC to find a new vocation so there is urgency on both ends. Danzig grinds down Escudero and …..
Prediction: Danzig by knockout
Matt Brown (+230) vs Stephen Thompson (-300) Welterweights (Facebook):
Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson is of the several “flavors of the month” fighting on this card. Thompson (6-0) comes from a kickboxing backround and trains with Georges St Pierre. He’s reputed to be a “killa” striker. Matt Brown would appear to be a tailor made opponent for Thompson as he’s a relentless brawler who will take five to give two of his own. This guy is super tough and we’ll have a much better guage of Thompson after this fight.
Prediction: Thompson by decision
Keith Wisniewski (+170) vs Chris Clements (-210) Welterweights (Facebook):
This could be the underdog special of the evening if are looking to cash a ticket. Wisniewski isn’t much but neither is his opponent. We saw in Wiz’s UFC debut vs Josh Neer that he is tough and can take punishment. Clements makes his UFC debut but his resume vs lesser is that he’s a banger with a supect chin and even more suspect cardio. The longer this goes, the better it is for the dog.
Prediction: Wisniewski by decision
Maximo Blanco (-285) vs Marcus Brimage (+225) Featherweights (Facebook): Both guys are bangers. Brimage doesn’t do much else and has a very limited and suspect ground game. Blanco started as a wrestler and has developed a very solid stand up attack. Blanco is dropping and making his featherweight debut which could add speed without substantially losing power.
Prediction: Blanco by knockout