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BOTN’s Free Play for Tuesday, February 19, 2013
Missouri State +6.5 over Northern Iowa (8:00 PM EST)
The Missouri State Bears are just 8-19 on the year but they’re money making son-of-a-guns the way that we keep score. State is just 13-9 ATS overall but they are a sparkling 12-3 in MVC play including 5-1 at home, a role that they will enjoy tonight. Northern Iowa (-12) won the first go around 48-37 just two weeks ago in Cedar Falls but keep in mind that this was a game that Missouri State led by three with just ten minutes left. The Panthers have won seven of the last nine series meeting including three of four on this floor but once again take note that two of those three wins were by a point. UNI is a 50.50 proposition as a favorite this year and just 3-5 giving points with suitcase. MVC road fave of less than six points are just 6-15 this year and as previously mentioned, these Bears have led that charge. As a side note, all of the last four meetings have gone under the total so we’ll call for Northern Iowa to eke out a small win here in a lower scoring game.
Recommendation: Northeren Iowa 58 Missouri State 55
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