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BOTN’s Free Play for Sunday, February 17, 2013
Rider -8 over Marist (4:00 PM EST)
BOTN thinks that we’re getting some line value here courtesy of Marist’s recent solid play. That said, the Foxes are still 7-19 overall and 0-5 in their L5 as a road dog of 6-9 points. By recent solid play we mean that Marist’s last six games have all been decided by six points or less and that their last two road outing went to overtime but ….. the Foxes are just 1-10 straight up in the L11 of this series and that includes a 64-58 (+2.5) home loss February 3rd. In that game the Foxes shot themselves in the foot by going just 11-20 from the foul line. Rider has won three of four and the Broncos look like they might be on the come. They’re just 6-4 in the role of bully but they are 10-3 ATS this year against losing records. MAAC home favorites eight or more points are a money making 12-7 and considering the Broncos recent domination of the series, laying the wood looks to be the best way to go. * Note that seven of the last eight meetings have gone over the total including the last four Alumni Gym.
Recommendation: Rider 70 Marist 57
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