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Kansas State +3.5 over Baylor (7:00 PM EST)
Kansas State is 5-2 in the Big 12 road with losses at Kansas and Iowa State and Baylor is 5-2 in conference at home with losses to oklahoma and Iowa State but that is where any similarity between these two teams ends. The Wildcats have won eight of nine and that includes an 81-61 (-4.5) home beat down of the Bears just two weeks ago. In that game, the Cats turned Baylor over 19 times and nailed 11-25 treys. It was KSU’s fifth win in the last seven series games. Baylor has lost six of nine and just hasn’t performed against the league’s heavy hitters. The Bears also don’t seem to be able to stand success. They are off a nice road win at West Virginia but are just 8-19 ATS off their L27 Big 12 wins. These are two teams headed in opposite directions. Kansas State is a team that even at 23-5 seems to be improving and figures to make some noise in the tournament. The Wildcats are definitely an Elite Eight possibility. At 17-11, Baylor will likely get an invite to the Big Dance but it is just as likely that the Bears are one and done.
Recommendation: Kansas State 74 Baylor 66
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