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Mercer/BYU Over 142 1/2 (9:00 PM EST)
You just can’t dismiss Mercer in this situation. The Bears finished ahead of Florida Gulf Coast during the Atlantic Sun regular season and just flat out got beat by the white-hot Eagles in the conference tournament final. The Bears on an 11-1 run in their L12 lines games as a dog but we don’t like the fact that their two trips West of Mississippi early on (New Mexico and Denver) were double-digit losses. This is an athletic team that shoots the ball well (44/76/36) and has seen their last three games go over the total. Not real interested in laying any real points with BYU but the Coogs are home where they play well and score some points. In fact, they dropped 90 on Washington in their first round game and averaged 77 points-per-game themselves this year. BYU likes the bully role especially at home where the over is 6-1 when the Cougars are laying points. This is the late game of tonight’s ESPN Monday double-header so both teams will be well rested, prepared and ready to play. Expecting an up and down game without much defense and put the home team on at least 80 which means won’t need a lot of help from the roadies to get over this number. Mercer will show up and we like the over closer to 160 than 140. Play the over.
Recommendation: BYU 80 Mercer 76
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