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BOTN’s Free Play for Friday, February 1, 2013
Columbia -3.5 over Penn (7:00 PM EST)
Penn swept Columbia in two close games last year but in this particular matchup, we’re going to throw out history and look at what both teams have done this year. The Lions are obviously some quality. They’re an Ivy League team that is 5-3 in true road games that includes an 18-point win at Villanova. They have excellent outside shooters that are draining better than 38% of their three-point attempts good for 26th in the country. The 3-15 Quakers are 1-11 in their L12 games against D-I schools. Penn’s lone victories have come against Baltimore Maryland-County, Binghamton, and New Jersey Tech by a point, their lone win since November 28th. The Quakes can’t shoot a lick hitting just 32% of their shots from behind the arc and though they have covered five of their last six, they were getting better than 16 points, not a luxury they’ll have here. In a somewhat left-handed defense, this is just Penn’s second home game since December 8th so some home cooking should do them good but not enough to win straight up or cover this small number. Take Columbia.
Recommendation: Columbia 69 Pennsylvania 58
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