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Atlanta (Maholm)/Giants (Bumgarner) Over 6.5 (4:15 PM EST)
At face value, you’re probably wondering where these two will scratch out seven runs. Paul Maholm has been super since coming over to the Braves and Madison Bumgarner has been lights out this year for the champs but ….. lets take a closer look. Both teams are 4-1 to the over in their last five and both teams are hitting .266+ and averaging 4.7+ rpg in their L7. Maholm sports a 6.23 ERA over his last three allowing 24 baserunners over 17 1/2 innings of work. He’s given up 9 earned on 16 hits in his L16 1/3 in his last three starts vs the Giants. Bumgarner has been better on the road than he’s been at home where his ERA is a pedestrian 3.60 over 25 innings. He’s just 1-3 LT vs the Bravos with a 4.03 ERA in five career starts. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 5 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 5 games when playing San Francisco. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco. The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 5 games at home. With the premium on the over just 20 cents, a ticket on the high here looks like a solid investment.
Recommendation: Braves/Giants Over 6.5
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