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Detroit (Scherzer)/Cleveland (Kazmir) Under 8.5 (7:10 PM EST)

This play is not exactly brain surgery as we have two starting pitchers in raging form. Max Scherzer is re-witing the record book with every start at 13-0 with a 3.09 ERA. He’s the first pitcher since Roger Clemens in 1986 to get off to a 13-0 start and he’s 8-0 with a 2.31 ERA over his last nine starts. He’s 5-0 with a 2.16 ERA with suitcase. Scott Kazmir has been a Godsend for the Tribe and he’s 1-0 with a 2.37 ERA in his last three starts. He hasn’t faced the Tigers in three years but he he’s only allowed three earned in his last 19 innings facing Motown. The techs if anything favor the over but just can’t see the Tigers mashing at a 7.0 rpg and .298 BA pace like they have the last seven days and by the same token don’t see Cleveland doing much against a pitcher that two hit them in May. Under seems to be the way to go here.

Recommendation: Detroit /Cleveland Under 8.5

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Tampa Bay (Moore) -138 over ChiSox (Sale) (7:10 PM EST)

Every team has one and on the Chicago White Sox it’s Chris Sale. The Pale Hose southpaw is one of the most unlucky SOBs in baseball getting little to no run suuport. Sale is 5-7 on the year with a sparkling 2.79 ERA but he’s 0-5 in his last six with Chitown providing him with just 13 runs of offense. Things don’t figure to improve tonight in Tampa Bay with the White Sox just 15-29 on the road this year. They’ll fave a surging and grinding Rays outfit that is 8-4 in their last 12. Matt Moore toes the rubber rocking 11 wins already this year and 3-0 with a 1.86 ERA in his last three starts. Moore is 2-1 with a 1.47 ERA in three lifetime starts vs Chicago, his only loss coming on a 2-1 decision to Sale in May of 2012. The WSox are just in their L9 overall and that includes an act-of-God win here last night. Chicago is arguably one of the five worst teams in the MLB and getting Tampa Bay at 35 cents with their ace on the mound is pretty much a gift.

Recommendation: Tampa Bay -138 over ChiSox

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Toronto (Rodgers) +131 over Detroit (Verlander) (7:10 PM EST)

Somebody is going to have to explain to me why not take a shot with the homestanding Toronto Blue Jays against Jason Verlander and the Tigers. After all, the former Motown Cy Young winner is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his last three and he’s 8-5 with an uncharacteristically high 3.77 ERA for the year. Verlander is just 2-2 with a 4.59 LT ERA vs the Jays and the visitors are just 3-6 L9 overall. Toronto is 7-2 in their L9 home games and Esmil Rodgers to the mound rocking a 2-1 2.18 badge in six spot starts. He should be able to deal against a Detroit outfit that is hitting just .231 over their last games and a full 30 point lower on the road than at home. Techs don’t really apply here as both teams look to be about 50/50 propositions regardless. Toronto is a tick below .500 in a couple of games since their long run. They’ll (the Jays) need to tighten things up if they hope to have any chance of making the playoffs in the wild and wooley Freemont street street experience. Today, they do and at a price.

Recommendation: Toronto +131 over Detroit

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Tampa Bay (Moore) -159 over Houston (Keuchel) (7:10 PM EST)

Both starting pitchers in this matchup are both in excellent form but that’s where any similarities between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Houston Astros end. The Rays are 5-2 in their last seven and send Matt Moore to the mound here. Moore is 10-3 with a 3.55 ERA for the year and won his last two starts in easy fashion. The Rays rip lefties and are hitting .265 and averaging exactly 5.0 runs-per-game against southpaws. They face a lefty in Dallas Keuchel who is just 1-2 despite a 2.67 ERA over his last three starts. Houston strangely enough has somewhat overachieved this year at 30-52, many pundits had this team losing between 110-120 games. They have lost five of six overall and five straight in this series. Back to Moore, the Rays are 8-1 in his last nine road games, 4-0 as road chalk. In the ultra-tough AL East, Tampa Bay has no room for error against any NL bottom-feeder. Tampa Bay notches a good road win here.

Recommendation: Tampa Bay -159 over Houston

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